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Bank of America (BAC): rates and credit exposure

Bank of America // Banking // the United States
By Mateo Murr · Last reviewed 5 Oct 2026
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How global shocks reach BAC

Bank of America is filed under Banking, and 2 of the 6 shock types GLOBLVIEW tracks reach it through that sector (rates/fed, credit stress). Stories centered on the United States also register as geographic exposure, because Bank of America is registered in the United States.

ShockChannelTendency for BACWhy
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefitHigher rates tend to help banking when loans reprice faster than deposits, which widens net interest margin.
CREDIT STRESSRisk appetite▼ tends to be pressuredCredit stress tends to hit banking directly, through funding costs, defaults, or a general pullback in lending.

Direction is a tendency across cycles, not a forecast. Sector mapping uses the Finnhub industry classification; geography uses country of registration, not revenue by region.

What actually moves Bank of America

Rates are the main cash channel, and the bank's own table is not symmetric. An immediate 100 basis point parallel rise would add about $0.7 billion to banking book net interest income. A 100 basis point drop would cut it by about $2.0 billion. Net interest income was $60.1 billion of $113.1 billion of revenue. Deposits, not bonds, fund the balance sheet: $2.02 trillion of deposits against $317.8 billion of long-term debt.

Trade reaches Bank of America through borrowers and markets, not through a factory. The filing says significant tariff increases produced market volatility, and that further increases, including in US and China trade, could slow the economy and raise inflation. The United States was 86% of revenue. Oil and conflict show up mainly in trading results and in corporate credit, not as input costs.

The less obvious funding fact is uninsured deposits. About $857.9 billion, roughly 42% of deposits, was uninsured. In a credit scare that is the balance to watch, alongside cards and commercial loans. The filing also names stablecoins and other nonbank digital money as a reason deposits could leave. That is a funding competitor, not a rate competitor.

Drawn from the annual filing cited below. Not a forecast and not investment advice.

What Bank of America sells and where it earns

Bank of America is a US deposit-taking bank with a large brokerage and investment bank attached. Revenue net of interest expense was $113.1 billion in 2025, and $60.1 billion of that was net interest income, so lending and deposit spreads still drive the business more than fees do. The bank says it serves about 69 million consumer and small business clients through roughly 3,600 retail financial centers, 15,000 ATMs and digital platforms with about 49 million active users. Consumer Banking, the largest segment, takes deposits and makes card, mortgage and auto loans. Global Wealth & Investment Management consists of Merrill Wealth Management and the Bank of America Private Bank. Global Banking lends to and advises companies and earns investment banking fees. Global Markets handles sales and trading for institutional clients. The bank operates in more than 35 countries, but the US produced 86% of 2025 revenue. Total assets were $3.41 trillion and loans and leases averaged $1.14 trillion during 2025.

Revenue by segment, FY2025, year ended December 31, 2025
Consumer Banking (Share of fully taxable-equivalent revenue ($43.7 billion))38%
Global Wealth & Investment Management22%
Global Banking21%
Global Markets21%
All Other (Negative revenue of $3.1 billion; shares sum to 99% after rounding)-3%
Revenue by geography
United States86%
Europe, Middle East and Africa7%
Asia5%
Latin America and the Caribbean2%

Customer concentration

The 10-K does not identify any single client as material to revenue. Of $2.02 trillion in deposits at December 31, 2025, an estimated $857.9 billion was uninsured ($723.0 billion in the US and $134.9 billion outside it), or about 42% of the total.

Debt

Deposits of $2.02 trillion were about 65% of total liabilities at December 31, 2025, so the bank is mainly deposit funded. Long-term debt was $317.8 billion, about 10% of liabilities, up from $283.3 billion a year earlier. The filing estimates that an immediate 100bp parallel rise in rates would add about $0.7 billion to banking book net interest income, while a 100bp drop would cut it by about $2.0 billion.

Risk factors that moved this year

How this changes the exposure read

Rates/Fed is the dominant channel, and the filing's numbers show the bank loses more from falling rates than it gains from rising ones. Credit stress arrives through consumer cards and commercial loans, and the uninsured deposit base is the place to watch in a funding scare. Trade/tariff policy is now a named risk factor, but it hits through borrowers and market volatility rather than the bank's own costs. Oil shocks and conflict risk reach it mainly through trading revenue and corporate borrowers. Chip/export rules are not a meaningful channel.

Source: Bank of America 10-K, FY2025. Checked 2026-10-05. Figures are from the filing and may differ from the live stats above.

What is moving it now

Halloween gets pricier as chocolate costs climb — Hershey may feel the pinch
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefit bankingCNBC · 1d ago
St. Louis Fed's Musalem: Tighter monetary policy is needed 'soon'
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefit bankingCNBC · 1d ago
UK inflation expectations fall in October, Citi/YouGov survey shows - Reuters
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefit bankingReuters · 2d ago
Fed chairman talks tough on inflation — plus, what's behind Micron's big rally
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefit bankingCNBC · 3d ago
Bond investor Jeff Gundlach talks to CNBC about Fed's rate pause, Warsh reducing vote-setting meetings
RATES/FEDPrice of money▲ tends to benefit bankingCNBC · 3d ago
Trump on Iran war: It's going to get wrapped up soon - Reuters
WASHINGTONGeographyregistered in US, where this story is centredReuters · 1d ago

Key stats

Market cap$346.20B
P/E (TTM)10.78x
P/S (TTM)2.33x
P/B1.27x
EPS (TTM)$4.36
Div yield2.82%
Beta1.21
52W high$65.23
52W low$46.12
Avg vol (10d)34.47M
Avg vol (3m)35.31M
Oper margin32.74%
Net margin30.16%
ROE10.69%
Rev growth YoY99.37%
Debt/Equity2.35x
Next earnings15 Jan 2027

Recent filings

10-QQuarterly report2026-10-30
8-KCurrent report2026-10-23
8-KCurrent report2026-10-21

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The reasoning behind these mappings
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Quotes may be delayed. Information only, not investment advice.